The 窪蹋厙勛圖 Blog
Olena Lennon, a practitioner-in-residence in national security, shares the significance of the transition in power in the Central European country of Hungary and explains why engaged citizens can have such a profound impact on the direction of their country.
June 16, 2026
I recently had a unique opportunity to participate in an Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) Election Observation Mission (EOM) during a parliamentary election in Hungary.
This was my seventh election observation mission, but the first one I have participated in within a European Union member state. My previous six missions were all in so-called transitional democracies outside the EU.
That is notable because election observation missions are typically deployed in countries where there are concerns about the fairness, transparency, or integrity of the electoral process. It is fairly uncommon for such missions to be conducted in EU member states, which generally have relatively well-functioning democratic institutions.
I was really excited to have been selected for this mission, as Hungarys parliamentary election was expected to be of historic significance, presenting the most serious challenge to Prime Minister Viktor Orb獺ns 16-year rule, the longest uninterrupted tenure of any leader in the European Union.
The election was followed particularly closely in Ukraine. As a member of both the EU and NATO, Hungary often took positions favoring Russia and disfavoring Ukraine, in contrast to most other European countries. Thus, the election result had the potential to influence EUs military assistance to Ukraine and sanctions against Russia at a critical moment in the war.
The election also attracted international attention because of Viktor Orb獺ns notorious friendship with Russias president Vladimir Putin and that Russian-linked actors and financial support could benefit Orb獺ns campaign and strengthen his chances of winning. Orb獺n had maintained close political and economic ties with Russia throughout Russias brutal war against Ukraine, including continuing to substantial amounts of Russian energy, resisting on Russia, and EU assistance to Ukraine.
During the election observation mission, I was one of approximately 30 American delegates among roughly 180 Short-Term Observers (STOs) representing 24 countries. The mission deployed observers across Hungary to observe election-day procedures, vote counting, and the overall electoral process.
On my previous observation missions, I was usually deployed outside the capital, often to smaller cities or more remote areas. This was the first time I was assigned to remain in the capital for the entire mission. As much as I usually like travelling outside tourist hotspots, I was glad to be assigned to stay in Budapest. The main reason was that as a capital city Budapest was expected to play a critical role in the election, making it one of the most interesting places to be in on an election day. And, of course, it didnt hurt that Budapest is absolutely stunning. Spending extra time there while carrying out the mission was an added benefit.
Prior to election day, we were briefed that the campaign environment heavily favored Viktor Orb獺n and his party, Fidesz. According to the OSCE assessment, the ruling party was expected to benefit from significant that would make it very difficult for the opposition to challenge the status quo.
These systemic advantages were further facilitated by changes in campaign financing laws less than a year before the election that on political campaign spending, allowing Orb獺n to channel disproportionately larger resources to promote his campaign.
All in all, the among many observers and experts was that there was a clear bias in media and news coverage in favor of the ruling party, with substantial government resources spent to promote Orb獺n campaign themes.
Leading up to the election, much of Orb獺ns was centered on themes of security, stability, and the fear of the Russia-Ukraine war spill-over.
A recurring message suggested that a victory by opposition leader P矇ter Magyar would draw Hungary into the war in defense of neighboring Ukraine, in which many Hungarians would die aimlessly. Orb獺ns campaign materials frequently portrayed support for Ukraine as a direct threat to Hungarian security, often as a choice between peace and war.
While walking through Budapest, I was struck by the saturation of negative campaign posters featuring Magyar alongside Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, suggesting that Magyars loyalties lay with Ukraine rather than with Hungary.
Given the economic challenges facing many Hungarians and widespread concerns about stability, these messages appeared politically powerful and likely resonated with portions of the electorate. Hungary is one of the in the EU, despite being one of the highest recipients of a disparity that has fueled concerns about government corruption.
At the same time, the prominence of Ukraine in the campaign reflected Hungarys unique position within Europe. As a neighboring state to Ukraine and a country whose government had frequently disagreed with its European partners over policy toward Russia and assistance to Ukraine, questions of war, peace, and national security occupied central place in domestic political debate.
Based on pre-election assessments of the uneven playing field between the two political contenders, it seemed rather unlikely that P矇ter Magyar would be able to unseat Viktor Orb獺n.
On election day, as we traveled from polling station to polling station across Budapest, one thing that stood out to me immediately was that there always seemed to be long lines of voters waiting to cast their ballots. Our initial impression was that turnout was rather high. The official results later confirmed this, reporting a of 80 percent.
As we were observing the closing procedures and vote count at one of the polling stations, we began hearing fireworks in the distance. We were puzzled, as the official results had not yet been announced and it seemed premature for either side to be celebrating based solely on exit polls.
Then reports began circulating on social media that Viktor Orb獺n the election calling the election result painful, but clear. The news came as a surprise, and we were initially skeptical of its accuracy. Many observers had expected Orb獺n to challenge the outcome if the election did not turn out in his favor.
As we left the Local Election Center (LEC) around 2 a.m. on Monday following election day and headed back to the hotel, we could still hear loud music from a victory rally held by P矇ter Magyar and his supporters. The celebration later went viral in part because of the now-famous dancing politician moment, when Hungarys health minister-designate Zsolt Heged鑄s spontaneously broke into a celebratory dance.
It was remarkable to be in Budapest on election day and in the following few days. There was a palpable sense that something historic was unfolding, that an outcome many had considered unlikely, if not impossible, had been made possible by people actually showing up.
Despite the considerable political, financial, and organizational advantages enjoyed by Viktor Orb獺ns campaign, voters ultimately chose a different path. Of course, P矇ter Magyars win was not going to immediately propel Hungary and Europe into a brighter future, but the fact that electoral outcomes could still be surprising even in highly corrupt political environments was an empowering message in and of itself.
The OSCEs , based on the aggregated observations of its election monitors, concluded that, despite an uneven playing field between the competitors, voting and counting were conducted fairly, professionally, and transparently, with election officials generally administering procedures in accordance with established requirements.
P矇ter Magyars rise to power was one of the most remarkable political developments in modern Hungarian history. A former insider of Viktor Orb獺ns Fidesz party and the ex-husband of former Justice Minister Judit Varga, Magyar with Viktor Orb獺ns government in 2024, accusing it of corruption, cronyism, and abandoning the rule of law.
Within two years, he transformed the newly established Tisza Party into Hungarys leading opposition force, which ultimately defeated Orb獺n after sixteen years of uninterrupted Fidesz rule, marking one of the most significant opposition victories against a long-entrenched populist government in Europe in recent years.
Perhaps the best description the P矇ter Magyars political phenomenon was offered by the The Atlantics who said P矇ter Magyars win, would be like an ex-MAGA Republican named Peter American winning the Democratic nomination with the endorsement of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marjorie Taylor Greene. (Magyar literally means Hungarian in the Hungarian language.)
Magyar did not only manage to break from the ruling party, but he succeeded in attracting support from conservatives disillusioned with Orb獺n, centrists, liberals, and many voters who had previously disengaged from politics, largely by focusing on corruption, government accountability, and public services rather than ideological issues.
Since taking office in May 2026, Prime Minister P矇ter Magyar has focused on reversing several key policies of the Orb獺n era. His government pledged anti-corruption reforms and with the European Union to release approximately 16 billion euros in funds that had been frozen over corruption and rule-of-law concerns during Viktor Orb獺ns tenure. He also moved to Hungarys controversial Sovereignty Protection Office, which critics argued had been used to pressure journalists, civil society organizations, and political opponents.
In foreign policy, Magyar has shifted Hungary toward a more pro-European and pro-Western posture, and he has emphasized with EU and NATO partners.
While Magyar has sought to distinguish his government from Orb獺ns approach to Ukraine and Russia as well, the shift has been measured rather than fundamental.
Thus, Magyar's government his predecessors two-year veto on partially reimbursing EU countries for weapons they send to Kyiv, but reaffirmed Hungarys to provide any direct military aid to Ukraine. He also Hungarys veto on Ukraines EU membership bid but opposed Ukraines entry into the European Union.
While more outspoken in Russias aggression and supporting Ukraines territorial integrity, Magyar nevertheless stated that Hungary would continue Russian oil, citing the countrys geographic constraints and budgetary considerations. It remains to be seen whether Magyars government will pursue a more fundamental realignment in favor of Ukraine and a more assertive approach toward countering Russia.
All in all, it was a privilege to witness such a historic election firsthand. Despite widespread concerns about the unevenness of the contest and despite the considerable advantages enjoyed by the incumbent government, an exceptionally high voter turnout demonstrated the power of citizen participation and the ability of voters to shape their countrys future through democratic means and a peaceful transfer of power.
The experience was particularly inspiring in a year when the United States will hold midterm elections, which traditionally attract lower levels of voter participation despite their importance. Hungarys election served as a reminder that democratic outcomes are not predetermined and that engaged citizens can have a profound impact on the direction of their country.
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